Extension and refinement of a stochastic modelling approach to assess ice-jam flood hazard
Section 1: Publication
Publication Type
Journal Article
Authorship
Lindenschmidt, K. E.
Title
Extension and refinement of a stochastic modelling approach to assess ice-jam flood hazard
Year
2023
Publication Outlet
Hydrology Research 54(2): 149-164
DOI
ISBN
ISSN
Citation
Lindenschmidt, K. E. (2023) Extension and refinement of a stochastic modelling approach to assess ice-jam flood hazard. Hydrology Research 54(2): 149-164.
https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2023.042
Abstract
In the spring of 2020, the town of Fort McMurray, which lies on the banks of the Athabasca River, experienced an ice-jam flood event that was the most severe in approximately 60 years. In order to capture the severity of the event, a stochastic modelling approach, previously developed by the author for ice-jam flood forecasting, has been refined for ice-jam flood hazard and risk assessments and ice-jam mitigation feasibility studies, which is the subject of this paper. Scenarios of artificial breakage demonstrate the applicability of the revised modelling framework.
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