https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104169

Boldt L., Lloyd-Smith P., Belcher K., Pattison-Williams J., Bergen G., Blechinger K., Paulson I. (2025) Agronomic and economic effects of wetlands on crop yields using precision agriculture data, Agricultural Systems, Volume 222 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104169

CONTEXT Wetland drainage has become an increasingly important conservation issue in the Prairie Pothole region of North America. Financial incentives for annual crop production have driven wetland drainage for decades, and the removal of wetlands has detrimentally impacted key wetland ecosystem services such as wildlife habitat and carbon sequestration. Past studies which model the farmer's decision to drain wetlands often operate on the assumption that drained wetlands will produce similar yields to upland regions of the field. OBJECTIVE Our objective is to estimate the effects of wetlands and their buffer zones on crop yields, farm financial performance, and incentives for wetland drainage in the Prairie Pothole Region. METHODS We combine precision yield data and detailed wetland mapping data from 36 fields in the Black and Dark Brown soil zones of Saskatchewan, Canada to estimate the agronomic impacts of wetlands and their buffer areas on crop yields. Then, we incorporate these yield effects into a farm accounting model with three wetland drainage scenarios to estimate the annual per cultivated acre net benefits of wetland drainage in the study area, and compare these results to those estimated without wetland yield effects. RESULTS We find that yields in wetland basins are relatively lower than the field's average yield, with substantial variability with respect to crop type, soil zone, and annual precipitation. Wetland drainage can mitigate these yield effects, but yields in drained wetland basins still fail to meet the field average yield. These yield effects can extend more than 50 m beyond the wetland boundary. We find that these effects substantially impact the net benefits of wetland drainage. The returns from wetland drainage increase when yield effects are considered. On average, full wetland drainage within the study area increases net benefits by $17 to $33 per cultivated acre relative to full wetland restoration. SIGNIFICANCE The results demonstrate the importance of considering wetland and buffer zone yield effects in wetland drainage decisions, improve our understanding of wetland costs, and potentially inform policy development and the design of incentives for wetland conservation in agricultural landscapes.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104169